The No. 5 Texas Longhorns (7-1) will play their first home game in three weeks when they host the Florida Gators (4-4) on Saturday afternoon. Texas bounced back from its first loss of the season with a 27-24 win at then-No. 25 Vanderbilt two weeks ago before having a bye last week. The Longhorns are in a five-way tie atop the SEC standings, joining Georgia, Texas A&M, Tennessee and LSU as teams with one loss in conference play. Florida finds itself near the bottom of the standings, but it covered the spread in a 34-20 loss to Georgia last week. Florida quarterback DJ Lagway and running back Montrell Johnson Jr. are both listed as game-time decisions.
Kickoff is set for noon ET on Saturday at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. Texas is favored by 21.5 points in the latest Texas vs. Florida odds, while the over/under is 47.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Florida vs. Texas picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Florida vs. Texas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the game:
- Texas vs. Florida spread: Texas -21.5
- Texas vs. Florida over/under: 47.5 points
- Texas vs. Florida money line: Texas -2222, Florida +1038
- Texas vs. Florida picks: See picks here
- Texas vs. Florida streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Texas can cover
Texas looked like the best team in college football in its first six games of the season, winning all of those games in blowout fashion. The Longhorns suffered their first loss against Georgia to snap their hot streak, but they were able to grind out a win against upset-minded Vanderbilt two weeks ago. Their bye last week gave them a chance to reset before their final four games of the regular season, and now they take on a team that is without original starting quarterback Graham Mertz (ACL) and potentially Lagway, who will likely be limited if he’s able to go at all.
Junior quarterback Quinn Ewers has 1,389 passing yards and 14 touchdowns, while sophomore running back Quintrevion Wisner has 409 rushing yards and two scores. Florida’s offense was down to its third-string quarterback at the end of last week’s game, with the Gators managing just 81 total yards in the second half. They have now lost seven straight games in November, while Texas has covered the spread in eight of its last 12 games. See which team to pick here.
Why Florida can cover
Florida head coach Billy Napier had one of the hottest seats in college football after the Gators dropped two of their first three games this season, but they have shown some impressive resilience since then, and athletic director Scott Stricklin announced on Thursday that Napier will be retained for another season. The Gators have won three of their last five games while also taking then-No. 8 Tennessee to overtime in mid-October. Florida covered the spread again last week against No. 2 Georgia, covering for the fifth consecutive game.
The game was tied entering the fourth quarter, but Florida was ultimately unable to keep Georgia off the board down the stretch. Texas has struggled to meet expectations at the end of the season, covering the spread one time in its last eight games in Week 11. See which team to pick here.
How to make Texas vs. Florida picks
The model has simulated Florida vs. Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas vs. Florida, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Florida vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.
