The No. 18 Arkansas Razorbacks (1-1) will try to bounce back from their first loss under head coach John Calipari when they host the Troy Trojans (2-0) on Wednesday night. Arkansas cruised to a 76-60 win over Lipscomb in its season opener before falling to then-No. 8 Baylor on Saturday in a 72-67 final. Troy is off to an impressive start, covering the spread in double-digit wins over Toledo and New Orleans. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2022, when Arkansas notched a 74-61 win at home.
Tipoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Bud Walton Arena. Arkansas is favored by 12.5 points in the latest Arkansas vs. Troy odds, while the over/under is 151.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Troy vs. Arkansas picks, you’ll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 2 of the 2024-25 season on a 155-110 betting roll (+2102) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Troy-Arkansas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:
- Arkansas vs. Troy spread: Arkansas -12.5
- Arkansas vs. Troy over/under: 151 points
- Arkansas vs. Troy money line: Arkansas: -962, Troy: +627
- Arkansas vs. Troy picks: See picks here
- Arkansas vs. Troy streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Arkansas can cover
Arkansas has already picked up one blowout win at home this season, beating Lipscomb by 16 points in Calipari’s debut last Wednesday. Star freshman guard Boogie Fland had 17 points, while senior guard Johnell Davis had 15 points and six rebounds. The Razorbacks came up just short against then-No. 8 Baylor on Saturday, but they were 4-point underdogs in that matchup.
Kentucky transfer Adou Thiero had 24 points, six rebounds and two assists on 10 of 15 shooting, while Fland had another impressive outing with 17 points, seven assists and five rebounds. The Razorbacks have 13 newcomers in their first season under Calipari, including multiple high-level transfers and star freshmen. Troy lacks the talent to compete with Arkansas, and the Razorbacks have won five of the last six meetings between these teams. See which team to pick here.
Why Troy can cover
Troy plays a similar style to Arkansas, utilizing a variety of full-court presses to speed up opponents and disrupt rhythm. The Trojans have been successful in their first two games, beating Toledo and New Orleans by double digits. They have 12 returning players from last year’s team that posted 20 wins for the third consecutive season.
Those players have played in a combined 262 games, giving them a significant experience edge over an Arkansas roster that is still trying to develop chemistry with each other. Jackson Fields leads four Troy players who are averaging double digits, scoring 12.5 points and grabbing 7.0 rebounds per game. The Trojans are unbeaten against the spread in their last six games in November. See which team to pick here.
How to make Arkansas vs. Troy picks
The model has simulated Troy vs. Arkansas 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Arkansas vs. Troy, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Troy vs. Arkansas spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 155-110 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.
