Villanova vs. Providence odds, prediction: 2025 college basketball picks, Jan. 17 best bets by proven model



The Villanova Wildcats (11-7) will be happy to return home for the first time in nine days when they host the Providence Friars (9-9) on Friday night in a Big East battle. Villanova picked up a 68-66 win over then-No. 9 UConn in its last home game, but it is coming off consecutive road losses since then. Providence won back-to-back home games last week before losing to Creighton on the road earlier this week. Villanova won both meetings between these teams last year by double digits. 

Tipoff is set for 7 p.m. ET on Friday at Wells Fargo Center. Villanova is favored by 8.5 points in the latest Villanova vs. Providence odds, while the over/under is 141.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Providence vs. Villanova picks, you’ll want to see the NCAA Basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every Division 1 college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 11 of the 2024-25 season on an 195-134 betting roll (+2882) on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to 2023. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Providence-Villanova. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines for the game:

  • Villanova vs. Providence spread: Villanova -8.5
  • Villanova vs. Providence over/under: 141.5 points
  • Villanova vs. Providence money line: Villanova: -385, Providence: +301
  • Villanova vs. Providence picks: See picks here
  • Villanova vs. Providence streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Villanova can cover

Villanova won eight out of nine games prior to its current two-game skid, including the win over UConn on Jan. 8. Senior forward Eric Dixon had 23 points and knocked down all nine of his free-throw attempts, while senior guard Wooga Poplar added 18 points on 6 of 10 shooting. Dixon leads the country in scoring at 24.8 points per game after scoring 18 points in a loss to Xavier on Tuesday. 

He is facing a Providence defense that has been struggling, allowing 77.9 points per game over its last seven outings. The Friars have lost five of those seven games, including a 20-point road loss at Creighton on Tuesday. Villanova has covered the spread in nine of its last 13 games, and it is riding an eight-game home winning streak. See which team to pick here. 

Why Providence can cover

Providence is coming off a disappointing showing against Villanova, but it won its previous two games. The Friars were 2.5-point favorites in their 84-65 win over Butler last Wednesday, as junior guard Jayden Pierre scored 18 points on 7 of 16 shooting. Freshman forward Ryan Mela posted a double-double with 10 points and 15 rebounds. 

The Friars followed that performance with a 91-85 win over Seton Hall on Saturday, as senior guard Bensley Joseph scored a game-high 28 points on 8 of 10 shooting off the bench. Joseph drilled 7 of 9 attempts from 3-point range, while freshman forward Oswin Erhunmwunse had a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds. Providence has covered the spread in 10 of its last 14 road games. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Villanova vs. Providence picks

The model has simulated Providence vs. Villanova 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Villanova vs. Providence, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Providence vs. Villanova spread you need to jump on, all from the model on an 195-134 roll on top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.





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